Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.112875 0.121170 0.129764 0.139337 0.149708 0.160613 0.172955
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.097949 0.109941 0.122995 0.138286 0.155742 0.175086 0.198202
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.088512 0.102381 0.117992 0.136919 0.159318 0.185067 0.217035
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080267 0.095089 0.112224 0.133581 0.159603 0.190424 0.229906
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076444 0.092498 0.111503 0.135784 0.166153 0.203105 0.251815
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071233 0.087768 0.107745 0.133817 0.167174 0.208728 0.264891
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067052 0.083984 0.104823 0.132553 0.168778 0.214891 0.278676
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062480 0.079406 0.100584 0.129259 0.167424 0.216963 0.286940
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059182 0.076260 0.097965 0.127842 0.168322 0.221860 0.299029
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056839 0.074217 0.096634 0.127988 0.171208 0.229416 0.314985
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053885 0.071203 0.093849 0.125982 0.170976 0.232586 0.324807
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051651 0.069043 0.092086 0.125246 0.172392 0.238007 0.337980
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051013 0.069076 0.093362 0.128864 0.180218 0.253010 0.366179
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048812 0.066850 0.091419 0.127840 0.181335 0.258413 0.380426
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046708 0.064659 0.089410 0.126590 0.182002 0.263098 0.393710
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044187 0.061766 0.086273 0.123533 0.179805 0.263341 0.400032
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043386 0.061301 0.086588 0.125551 0.185271 0.275354 0.425408
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041514 0.059200 0.084428 0.123749 0.184795 0.278159 0.436104
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039945 0.057479 0.082751 0.122591 0.185227 0.282341 0.449177
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037959 0.055064 0.079947 0.119574 0.182583 0.281486 0.453769
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036550 0.053462 0.078301 0.118275 0.182586 0.284831 0.465530
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035593 0.052507 0.077596 0.118409 0.184869 0.291941 0.484032
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034189 0.050819 0.075701 0.116570 0.183845 0.293519 0.492948